Caretaker Conventions

The projections are based upon actual values obtained in 2015, and estimates obtained for 2016. A full list of all projections, including historical projections, can be found at http://apps.treasury.act.gov.au/demography/projections/act.
These population projections are not intended to present predictions of the demographic future to any degree of reliability or precision.
The population projections contained here are the projected population resulting from certain assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality and migration trends.

Future population trends are influenced by a variety of social, economic and political factors, with significant fluctuation in short-term population growth rates as well as in the underlying social, economic and political influencers. Numerous behavioural assumptions are required to be made for each age cohort and sex. Many of these assumptions will be swamped by the random impacts on the future movements of individuals through births, deaths, and relocation.
Neither the authors nor the ACT Government give warranty in relation to these projections, and no liability is accepted by the authors or the Government or any other person who assisted in the preparation of the publication, for errors and omissions, loss or damage suffered as a result of any person acting in reliance thereon.

This spread sheet shows ABS geographic standards from 2006 across Australia and the % of the 15-64 year old population within each Socio-Economic Indexes for Individuals (SEIFI) IRSAD group. The data used to create this information was the same as used in the research paper “Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas: Getting a handle on individual diversity within areas” by Phillip Wise and Rosalynn Mathews. It is advised that this paper is read to further develop an understanding of the concepts and caveats associated with the analytical output contained in the spreadsheet.]
Roughly, the most disadvantaged 10% of the 15–64 year old population falls into group 1, whilst group 10 contains the most advantaged 10%. The smallest group in terms of 15–64 year old population proportion is group 6 with 7.78%, compared to group 7 with the largest percentage at 12% due to clustering at this point in the distribution of scores.
Group 1 – Approx. 9.6% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 2 – Approx. 10.0% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 3 – Approx. 11.5% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 4 – Approx. 8.6% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 5 – Approx. 11.4% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 6 – Approx. 7.8% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 7 – Approx. 12.0% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 8 – Approx. 9.1% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 9 – Approx. 9.5% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 10 – Approx. 10.5% of the 15-64 year old population

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This spread sheet shows all of the State Suburbs for the ACT and the % of the 15-64 year old population within each Socio-Economic Indexes for Individuals (SEIFI) IRSD group. The data used to create this information was the same as used in the research paper “Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas: Getting a handle on individual diversity within areas” by Phillip Wise and Rosalynn Mathews. It is advised that this paper is read to further develop an understanding of the concepts and caveats associated with the analytical output contained in the spreadsheet.

Group 1 – Approx. most disadvantage 20% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 2 – Approx. second most disadvantaged 20% of the 15- 64 population
Group 3 – Approx. second least disadvantaged 30% of the 15-64 year old population
Group 4 – Approx. least disadvantaged 30% of the 15-64 year old population

Please also note that not all ACT CDs have been included as their populations are below the ABS population count threshold (<3), those removed are:
- 8013801 in Reid
- 8012805 in Turner
- 8014302 in Kingston
- 8021701 in Unclassified ACT
- 8010110 in Bonner
- 8023401 in Tharwa
- 8010103 in Unclassified ACT
- 8014305 in Kingston
- 8014803 in Forrest

It should be noted that multiple Compact Discs of data make up this dataset, as a result the data for each suburb is distributed across several discs. This cccounts for the multiple rows of data that appear for each suburb.

Statistics on employment in the ACT Government Public Service from 2007-present

The projections are based upon actual values obtained in 2015, and estimates obtained for 2016. A full list of all projections, including historical projections, can be found at http://apps.treasury.act.gov.au/demography/projections/act.

These population projections are not intended to present predictions of the demographic future to any degree of reliability or precision.

The population projections contained here are the projected population resulting from certain assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality and migration trends.

Future population trends are influenced by a variety of social, economic and political factors, with significant fluctuation in short-term population growth rates as well as in the underlying social, economic and political influencers. Numerous behavioural assumptions are required to be made for each age cohort and sex. Many of these assumptions will be swamped by the random impacts on the future movements of individuals through births, deaths, and relocation.

Neither the authors nor the ACT Government give warranty in relation to these projections, and no liability is accepted by the authors or the Government or any other person who assisted in the preparation of the publication, for errors and omissions, loss or damage suffered as a result of any person acting in reliance thereon.

Statistics on employment in the ACT Government Public Service from 2007-present